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For Russia, Poland is the battleground — the stakes are 1920 all over again

16 May 2026

Sprawdzam To published a long-form analysis by Grzegorz Rzeczkowski — SAUFEX co-coordinator, director of the Centre for Disinformation Studies at Civitas University, and a member of the Resilience Council against International Disinformation at the Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs — on the scale of Russia’s undeclared war against Poland.

Drawing on the latest report from Poland’s Internal Security Agency (ABW), Rzeczkowski lays out three intertwined fronts: classic espionage and sabotage (including the 2024 Marywilska market fire and the November attempted rail derailment near Garwolin), cyberattacks on critical infrastructure (Poland came close to a nationwide blackout in late December 2025), and disinformation campaigns aimed at eroding support for Ukraine, deepening polarisation, and shifting the Polish political scene toward pro-Russian positions.

He argues that Russia’s strategy is producing measurable results — falling Polish sympathy for Ukrainian refugees, the rise of openly pro-Russian parties polling above the electoral threshold, and a public increasingly numb to the threat — and that without a coherent state response, Poland risks needing another “miracle on the Vistula.”

Read the full article (in Polish): Polska jest dla Rosji polem bitwy, w której stawka jest taka sama jak w 1920 r.